Statistically speaking, if you gave every red state to McCain plus all of the blue states in which Obama’s lead was less than 7%, Obama would still lead by 16 electoral votes.
To me, the only thing this does is bring this back to a 50/50 election. With such incredible voter suppression from the GOP, there are scores of people being denied the right to vote because of Republican tactics. Add to this the Bradley Effect, the fact that Democrats have a harder time missing work, and a little bit of laziness – and this could easily add up to 8%. Obama can survive an 7% cut, but not an 8%. With a margin that small, every vote for Obama is important.
5 responses so far ↓
J Stat // October 27, 2008 at 10:56 pm |
He’s (McCain) got a long ways to go… reminds me of 2000 though
backpacktwang // October 28, 2008 at 11:16 pm |
He’s not safe until he is elected. Things look good, but there is still work to be done. I was out at my county’s Obama HQ today working and there are still plenty of things to do to help.
Moderate views // October 29, 2008 at 6:10 am |
Observation only: I live in a county that is largely Republican, has few minorities, is quite wealthy and is in a toss-up state. I have seen hundreds of McCain/Palin signs but only a few Obama/Biden signs. Since early voting started finding a parking place at the library where voting takes place has been difficult. When I voted the lines moved quickly but there were still many in line when I left. I have never experienced this sort of turnout before.
joshanderson // October 29, 2008 at 6:19 am |
I agree with Backpack and Moderate – there’s nothing “safe” about Obama’s lead.
zaro // November 3, 2008 at 7:43 am |
I pray for the Almighty to protect. I love Obama. He is trully God Sent.